Close
newsletters Newsletters
X Instagram Youtube

Turkish exchange sees biggest one-day rally since May 2023 as rate cut bets climb

A trader walks in the trade floor of the Borsa Istanbul on May 22, 2018. (AFP Photo)
Photo
BigPhoto
A trader walks in the trade floor of the Borsa Istanbul on May 22, 2018. (AFP Photo)
July 01, 2025 09:07 AM GMT+03:00

Türkiye's stock exchange, Borsa Istanbul’s benchmark BIST 100 index jumped 5.78% on Monday, closing the day at 9,948.51 points, marking its fastest single-day gain since May 11, 2023.

The rally came after a court decision to postpone a lawsuit aimed at annulling the upcoming congress of the main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), easing fears over political instability.

The case was deferred to September 8, a move seen as helping preserve short-term political clarity. Market watchers interpreted the delay as a supportive factor for the Turkish central bank’s July monetary policy decision, with expectations growing that the bank may resume interest rate cuts.

A candlestick chart displays the BIST 100 index performance in June 2025, accessed on July 1, 2025. (Chart via tradingview.com)
A candlestick chart displays the BIST 100 index performance in June 2025, accessed on July 1, 2025. (Chart via tradingview.com)

Banking stocks lead as rate outlook shifts

Investor optimism was especially strong in banking stocks, which soared 9.64%. Analysts pointed to the prospect of lower borrowing costs as the primary driver, with the banking sector likely to benefit most from a looser monetary stance. The holding index also climbed 4.42%.

In June, the Turkish central bank's market participant survey indicated expectations for a 300-basis-point cut in the benchmark interest rate, which could bring it down to 43%.

Charts display market expectations for Türkiye’s interest rates, with the CBRT policy rate projected to remain at 46.0% in the near term before gradually falling to 20.1% by mid-2027. The BIST overnight repo rate remains relatively stable around 50%, accessed on June 16, 2025. (Chart via CBRT)
Charts display market expectations for Türkiye’s interest rates, with the CBRT policy rate projected to remain at 46.0% in the near term before gradually falling to 20.1% by mid-2027. The BIST overnight repo rate remains relatively stable around 50%, accessed on June 16, 2025. (Chart via CBRT)

Trading volume surges amid market rebound

Compared to the previous close, the BIST 100 index added 543.62 points, with total trading volume reaching ₺165 billion ($4.13 billion).

Market analysts described the current upward move as technically significant and noted resistance levels around 10,000 and 10,100 points, while identifying 9,600 and 9,500 as key support zones.

July 01, 2025 10:20 AM GMT+03:00
More From Türkiye Today