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Gold prices top $3,700, hit record on Fed rate cut expectations

File photo shows a stack of gold bars placed on top of a U.S. hundred-dollar bill. (Adobe Stock Photo)
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File photo shows a stack of gold bars placed on top of a U.S. hundred-dollar bill. (Adobe Stock Photo)
September 22, 2025 04:08 PM GMT+03:00

Global spot gold prices climbed over 1% on Monday, reaching a historic peak of $3,728.43 per ounce as of 11:20 a.m. GMT.

The surge came amid mounting expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will continue to reduce interest rates in the coming months.

Fed policy shifts drive demand

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points last week, delivering its first cut since December. The decision came in response to weak U.S. economic activity, particularly sluggish job growth that has fueled rising recession fears.

Investors now expect two additional 25-basis-point reductions this year, in October and December, with probabilities of 92% and 81% respectively, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Analysts noted that rising unemployment levels, combined with political pressure from former President Donald Trump, have pushed the Fed toward a more accommodative stance.

Candlestick chart shows gold price movements year-to-date in 2025, per ounce, as of September 22, 2025. (Chart via TradingView)

Broader economic uncertainty

Over the past 12 months, gold prices have surged 40.7%, moving within a range of $2,536.91 to $3,728.43. So far in 2025, bullion has gained more than 42%, driven by global geopolitical tensions, heavy central bank purchases, and easing monetary policies.

Meanwhile, global gold ETF demand in the first two weeks of September has already outpaced the total inflows for August, reaching more than $6 billion, according to World Gold Council data.

Chart shows weekly gold ETF flows by region alongside gold prices. (Chart via World Gold Council)
Chart shows weekly gold ETF flows by region alongside gold prices. (Chart via World Gold Council)

Silver leads gains among other metals, hitting 14-year high

Investors are now awaiting the release of the U.S. core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index later this week. The index is a key inflation gauge for the Fed, and its outcome could shape the pace of further rate cuts.

The rally extended beyond gold. Silver rose 1.6% to $43.76 per ounce, marking its highest level in more than 14 years.

Platinum increased 1.1% to $1,419.42, while palladium advanced 1.9% to $1,170.75.

September 22, 2025 05:02 PM GMT+03:00
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