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Türkiye rapprochement sparks rift in Greece’s New Democracy party

Greek Prime Minister Kiryakos Mitsotakis, July 10, 2024. (AA Photo)
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Greek Prime Minister Kiryakos Mitsotakis, July 10, 2024. (AA Photo)
November 22, 2024 11:06 AM GMT+03:00

Greece's Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis' efforts to rebuild ties with Türkiye have deepened tensions within Greece's ruling New Democracy party.

These tensions culminated on Nov. 16 when Mitsotakis expelled former Prime Minister Antonis Samaras, a prominent critic of his Türkiye policy, from the party.

Mitsotakis' response to domestic criticism

During a press conference following the European Union summit in Brussels, Mitsotakis firmly rejected criticisms from within Greece about his approach to Türkiye.

Addressing former Prime Minister Antonis Samaras, who has voiced skepticism about the talks, Mitsotakis reminded him that similar discussions with Türkiye were held during his tenure. The prime minister also took aim at far-right parties, accusing them of fearmongering and undermining national interests.

Antonis Samaras. (AFP Photo)Greece's Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis arrives to take part in a EU summit in Brussels, on October 17, 2024. (AFP Photo)BRUSSELS, BELGIUM - NOVEMBER 18: Greek Foreign Minister Georgios Gerapetritis speaks to the press ahead of European Union Foreign Affairs Council meeting in Brussels, Belgium on November 18, 2024.( Dursun Aydemir - Anadolu Agency )Greece's Prime minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (C) addresses the Greek Parliament in Athens on October 7, 2021 during a session to ratify a defence deal with France, after France and Greece signed on September 28, 2021 a multibillion-euro deal for Athens to buy three French warships. (Photo by Louisa GOULIAMAKI / AFP) (Photo by LOUISA GOULIAMAKI/AFP via Getty Images)
Antonis Samaras. (AFP Photo)Greece's Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis arrives to take part in a EU summit in Brussels, on October 17, 2024. (AFP Photo)BRUSSELS, BELGIUM - NOVEMBER 18: Greek Foreign Minister Georgios Gerapetritis speaks to the press ahead of European Union Foreign Affairs Council meeting in Brussels, Belgium on November 18, 2024.( Dursun Aydemir - Anadolu Agency )Greece's Prime minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (C) addresses the Greek Parliament in Athens on October 7, 2021 during a session to ratify a defence deal with France, after France and Greece signed on September 28, 2021 a multibillion-euro deal for Athens to buy three French warships. (Photo by Louisa GOULIAMAKI / AFP) (Photo by LOUISA GOULIAMAKI/AFP via Getty Images)

Diplomatic efforts between Greece and Türkiye

Over the past 18 months, Greece and Türkiye have made tentative steps to ease long-standing tensions, including disputes over Cyprus, maritime boundaries and more.

The rapprochement gained momentum in early 2023 following Greece's support for Türkiye after devastating earthquakes on Feb. 6, 2023. Since then, both countries have signed multiple cooperation agreements, and their leaders have met six times, with further discussions planned for 2025. Both countries stated they wanted to avoid any potential conflicts or tensions during that time and acted so.

President Erdogan and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis at U.N. Headquarters in New York, U.S. on September 24, 2024. (AA Photo)Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (L) and the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. (R) (AP Photo)President Erdogan with Greek Prime Minister Kiryakos Mitsotakis during the 75th NATO anniversary summit, Washington, July 10, 2024 (AA Photo)Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, FM Hakan Fidan, Albanian PM Edi Rama and Greek PM Kyriakos Mitsotakis during the European Political Community summit in Budapest.
President Erdogan and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis at U.N. Headquarters in New York, U.S. on September 24, 2024. (AA Photo)Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (L) and the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. (R) (AP Photo)President Erdogan with Greek Prime Minister Kiryakos Mitsotakis during the 75th NATO anniversary summit, Washington, July 10, 2024 (AA Photo)Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, FM Hakan Fidan, Albanian PM Edi Rama and Greek PM Kyriakos Mitsotakis during the European Political Community summit in Budapest.

Former PM Samaras opposes rapprochement

Samaras has accused Greek PM Mitsotakis of "appeasement" in dealings with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and has called for the dismissal of Foreign Minister George Gerapetritis. In a recent interview, Samaras criticized the government’s diplomacy as a betrayal of conservative values.

Greece's Government spokesperson Pavlos Marinakis dismissed Samaras' claims as "fake news," emphasizing that the expelled former leader expressed total disagreement with all governing policies.

Internal struggles and political context

Samaras' expulsion highlights ongoing ideological rifts within New Democracy, with nationalist factions opposing Mitsotakis' centrist policies. These tensions have been exacerbated by declining poll numbers following the party's underperformance in the 2024 European elections, despite a decisive national election victory in 2023.

Analysts weigh in

“The expulsion of Samaras was a bold step by Mitsotakis, signaling that intra-party dissent must remain within certain limits and that his grip on New Democracy is solid, allowing him to confront a senior party figure such as the former PM,” said Wolfango Piccoli, co-founder of risk analysis company Teneo.

Speaking to the Politico, Piccoli added that Misotakis' challenge will now be "to avoid being torn between his innate liberal stance and the need to appease ND's right-wing faction, which has been emboldened by Donald Trump’s reelection."

Loukas Tsoukalis, professor at Sciences Po, Paris and president of Greece's ELIAMEP think tank, said it made sense to try to tackle the core strategic disputes between Greece and Türkiye and condemned attempts to score political points off the rapprochement.

"I don’t think the majority of Greeks are opposed to a serious dialogue with Türkiye that may one day lead to some compromises," he added. "In Greece, there is a minority that has turned patriotism into a profession and is making a lot of noise, while those on the other side are afraid to take a public stand."

ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 08: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) and Greek Foreign Minister Giorgos Gerapetritis hold a press conference after their meeting in Athens, Greece on November 08, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 8: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) meets with his Greek counterpart Giorgos Gerapetritis (R) in Athens, Greece on November 8, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 8: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) meets with his Greek counterpart Giorgos Gerapetritis (R) in Athens, Greece on November 8, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 08: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) and Greek Foreign Minister Giorgos Gerapetritis hold a press conference after their meeting in Athens, Greece on November 08, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )
ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 08: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) and Greek Foreign Minister Giorgos Gerapetritis hold a press conference after their meeting in Athens, Greece on November 08, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 8: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) meets with his Greek counterpart Giorgos Gerapetritis (R) in Athens, Greece on November 8, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 8: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) meets with his Greek counterpart Giorgos Gerapetritis (R) in Athens, Greece on November 8, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )ATHENS, GREECE - NOVEMBER 08: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) and Greek Foreign Minister Giorgos Gerapetritis hold a press conference after their meeting in Athens, Greece on November 08, 2024. ( Murat Gök - Anadolu Agency )

Outlook for Greece-Türkiye relations

While tensions within New Democracy persist, diplomatic efforts between Greece and Türkiye are ongoing. Foreign Ministers George Gerapetritis and Hakan Fidan recently agreed to explore mechanisms for de-escalating disputes, with further talks scheduled.

Both nations appear committed to sustaining dialogue, though significant breakthroughs remain elusive.

November 22, 2024 11:06 AM GMT+03:00
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