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Nationalist conservative Karol Nawrocki leads in Poland's presidential runoff: Exit poll

Marta Nawrocka and supported by Law and Justice party candidate for the President of Poland Karol Nawrocki during the election evening of the second round of the Presidential election in Warsaw, Poland on June 1, 2025. (AA Photo)
Marta Nawrocka and supported by Law and Justice party candidate for the President of Poland Karol Nawrocki during the election evening of the second round of the Presidential election in Warsaw, Poland on June 1, 2025. (AA Photo)
June 02, 2025 01:46 AM GMT+03:00

Nationalist conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki is leading in Poland’s presidential election runoff with 50.7% of the vote, according to a late Sunday exit poll.

Populist conservative and pro-EU mayor of the Polish capital Rafal Trzaskowski, Nawrocki’s opponent, garnered 49.3%, the Ipsos poll showed. The survey was conducted for broadcasters TVP, Polsat News and TVN.

Voter turnout reached 71.7%, marking a historic high for the country, according to the same poll.

Sylwester Marciniak, chairman of the National Electoral Commission (PKW), said at a news conference that the margin between the two candidates could be as narrow as 120,000 votes, or 0.65%.

He added that the official results may take up to 14 days to be announced.

Preliminary results are displayed during the election night event showing the percentage of votes for presidential candidates, Karol Nawrocki (L) supported by Poland's right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, and Rafal Trzaskowski, Warsaw's Mayor and member of ruling centrist Civic Coalition party, at the Mala Warszawa Theatre in Warsaw, Poland on June 1, 2025. (AFP Photo)
Preliminary results are displayed during the election night event showing the percentage of votes for presidential candidates, Karol Nawrocki (L) supported by Poland's right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, and Rafal Trzaskowski, Warsaw's Mayor and member of ruling centrist Civic Coalition party, at the Mala Warszawa Theatre in Warsaw, Poland on June 1, 2025. (AFP Photo)

Outcome to shape political trajectory

The runoff followed a first round held May 18, where no candidate received more than 50% of the vote. Turnout in that round was 67.31%.

Trzaskowski, 53, narrowly won the first round with 31.36%, while Nawrocki, 42, followed closely with 29.54%.

The outcome is expected to shape Poland’s political trajectory and its relationship with the European Union.

June 02, 2025 01:46 AM GMT+03:00
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