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Germany's far-right party AfD nearly triples vote share in NRW local elections

German right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party for the European election Maximilian Krah attends a campaign event for the upcoming European elections in Dresden, eastern Germany, May 1, 2024. (AFP Photo)
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German right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party for the European election Maximilian Krah attends a campaign event for the upcoming European elections in Dresden, eastern Germany, May 1, 2024. (AFP Photo)
September 15, 2025 02:59 PM GMT+03:00

Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has made strong gains in local elections in North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW), nearly tripling its 2020 vote share and underlining its advance in the country’s western industrial heartland.

According to provisional results:

PartyVote Share (2025)Vote Share (2020)Change
CDU (Christian Democrats)33.3%34.3%-1.0
SPD (Social Democrats)22.1%24.1%-2.0
AfD (Alternative for Germany)14.5%5.1%+9.4
Greens13.5%20.0%-6.5
Left Party5.6%3.8%+1.8
FDP (Free Democrats)3.7%5.6%-1.9

Voter turnout reached 56.8%, up from 51.9% in 2020.

AfD gains ground in industrial heartland

The AfD’s surge—from 5.1% to 14.5%—signals its growing ability to mobilize support outside its eastern base. In Gelsenkirchen, a traditional SPD stronghold, the AfD mayoral candidate secured nearly 30% of the votes and advanced to a runoff. In Duisburg, the party won about a fifth of the electorate.

The party, co-led by Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupalla, has drawn support from working-class voters in the Ruhr region, an area marked by deindustrialization and high immigration.

The SPD’s 22.1% marks its weakest postwar performance in NRW. “We weren’t able to stop the downward trend,” admitted SPD co-chair and labor minister Bärbel Bas on television. “We have to ask ourselves how we can get out of this slump.”

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the Swiss President (not seen) give a joint press conference during their meeting at the Chancellery in Berlin, Sept. 2, 2025. (AFP Photo)
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the Swiss President (not seen) give a joint press conference during their meeting at the Chancellery in Berlin, Sept. 2, 2025. (AFP Photo)

CDU stays on top but faces questions

Despite slipping one percentage point, the CDU retained its position as the largest party with 33.3%.

NRW state premier Hendrik Wüst expressed gratitude to voters but acknowledged the challenges:

“Everyone will ask themselves, what are the right answers in terms of poverty and migration? Are all parts of our social systems really fair?”

Wider political significance

  • With over 18 million residents and 13.7 million voters, NRW is Germany’s largest state and a political bellwether.
  • This was the first major election since the early federal vote in February 2025, where AfD hit a record 21% nationwide.
  • Results could complicate Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s reform agenda. His CDU-SPD coalition is grappling with low approval ratings, a stagnant economy, and tensions over migration and welfare policy.

Turkish and migrant representation

Approximately 3 million people of Turkish origin live in Germany, with about 1 million in NRW. Around 20,000 candidates, many from immigrant backgrounds, contested the elections.

Alongside municipal elections, integration council (Uyum Meclisi) elections were held, giving non-German residents a voice in local governance on issues such as education, culture, equality, and anti-discrimination.

What comes next?

  • Runoff elections will take place in 147 municipalities where no candidate reached the required threshold.
  • Chancellor Merz has promised an “autumn of reforms,” including changes to pensions and welfare, but the weakened SPD and AfD’s rise may make reforms more difficult.
September 15, 2025 02:59 PM GMT+03:00
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