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China faces setback as Assad's regime falls

Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with Syria's Bashar al-Assad in eastern Hangzhou city, China, September 22, 2023 (Courtesy of France 24)
Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with Syria's Bashar al-Assad in eastern Hangzhou city, China, September 22, 2023 (Courtesy of France 24)
December 10, 2024 02:35 PM GMT+03:00

The fall of the authoritarian dictator Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria marks a significant setback for China’s influence in the Middle East, exposing the limits of its diplomatic and economic ambitions in the region according to Reuters.

Key points

  • Assad’s fall: Bashar al-Assad's regime, which China had strongly backed, collapsed on Sunday after anti-regime forces seized Damascus. This marks the end of Assad’s 50-year dynasty in Syria.
Syria's President Bashar al-Assad and his wife Asma are welcomed upon their arrival at Hangzhou airport, China in this handout picture obtained by Reuters on September 21, 2023. Syrian Presidency/Handout via Reuters
Syria's President Bashar al-Assad and his wife Asma are welcomed upon their arrival at Hangzhou airport, China in this handout picture obtained by Reuters on September 21, 2023. Syrian Presidency/Handout via Reuters
  • China’s relationship with Assad's regime: Just over a year ago, China welcomed Assad and his wife during a six-day visit, pledging support for Syria’s rebuilding and opposing external interference.
  • China’s regional strategy: The downfall of Assad's regime weakens the influence of China’s key allies, Russia and Iran, and raises questions about Beijing's ability to shape political outcomes in the Middle East.
  • China’s response: China's foreign ministry has called for a "political solution" in Syria, with cautious statements on future engagement. Beijing is expected to wait before recognizing any new government in Damascus.

What’s next

  • Reconstruction: While China could play a role in Syria’s reconstruction, its financial commitment is expected to be limited due to recent efforts to minimize financial risks overseas.
  • Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): Despite Syria’s inclusion in China’s BRI, there have been no major investments, partly due to ongoing sanctions.
December 10, 2024 02:35 PM GMT+03:00
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