Cigarette prices in Türkiye are expected to rise sharply as a result of an automatic special consumption tax (SCT) adjustment tied to inflation data set to be released on July 3.
According to Haberturk, the SCT on tobacco products will increase by approximately 15%, based on the six-month Producer Price Index (PPI). The index rose by 12.92% in the first five months of 2025, and with June figures included, the hike is projected to reach 15%.
Under current Turkish law, the SCT on cigarettes and alcoholic beverages is updated biannually in line with the PPI. However, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan holds the authority to suspend or reduce the increase.
If the full rate is applied, retail cigarette prices are expected to increase by ₺8–₺10 (20-25 cents) per pack. This would push the lowest-priced cigarettes in major brands from ₺70 to around ₺80.
The current minimum specific tax is ₺1,8313 per cigarette, or ₺36.62 per 20-stick pack. A 15% hike would raise this to ₺42.11. This base tax must constitute at least 50% of the final retail price, setting a minimum price threshold at ₺84.22 per pack.
The fixed tax is also set to increase from ₺10.5 to ₺12.07. Combined, the total STC burden per pack would rise from ₺47.12 to ₺54.12. Including VAT, the overall tax on a pack would reach at least ₺64.94.
Final figures will be confirmed following the release of official inflation data and any potential presidential intervention.