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US inflation jumps to 3.8% in April, dims hopes for Fed rate cuts

A gas pump is seen wrapped in caution tape at a USA Gasoline station in Los Angeles, California, May 04, 2026. (AFP Photo)
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A gas pump is seen wrapped in caution tape at a USA Gasoline station in Los Angeles, California, May 04, 2026. (AFP Photo)
May 12, 2026 04:27 PM GMT+03:00

U.S. inflation accelerated to 3.8% annually in April as soaring gasoline and energy prices drove consumer costs higher, weakening expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year.

Consumer prices rose 0.6% from the previous month, above market expectations of 3.7% annual inflation and up from 3.3% recorded in March.

Gasoline surge powers inflation

The latest reading marked the highest inflation level since May 2023.

Energy costs drove much of the increase. Annual energy inflation reached 17.9% in April, while energy commodities rose 29.2% and gasoline prices jumped 28.4% from a year earlier. Compared to March, overall energy prices climbed 3.8%, with gasoline up 5.4%.

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.4% during the month and stood at 2.8% annually.

Line chart illustrates annual changes in U.S. consumer prices from 2006 to 2026. (Chart via bls.gov)
Line chart illustrates annual changes in U.S. consumer prices from 2006 to 2026. (Chart via bls.gov)

Oil shock from Iran conflict clouds Fed rate cut hopes

The rise in fuel costs came as the U.S.-Israel war on Iran disrupted energy markets across the Middle East. Iranian retaliatory actions targeting energy infrastructure and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed global oil prices above $100 per barrel.

Roughly one-fifth of global oil and natural gas shipments normally pass through the strategic waterway.

The data strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% at its June 17 meeting and likely maintain current levels through the end of the year as it continues targeting 2% inflation.

May 12, 2026 04:27 PM GMT+03:00
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