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Samsung forecasts more than 780% jump in third-quarter operating profit

A man walks past the Samsung logo in the shopping mall of the Samsung Electronics Seocho building in Seoul on Oct. 8, 2026. (AFP Photo)
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A man walks past the Samsung logo in the shopping mall of the Samsung Electronics Seocho building in Seoul on Oct. 8, 2026. (AFP Photo)
October 08, 2026 10:20 AM GMT+03:00

Samsung Electronics projected Thursday that its third-quarter operating profit will rise more than 780% from a year earlier, driven by high memory chip prices amid a global supply shortage fueled by artificial intelligence (AI).

The South Korean company is the world's largest maker of memory chips, which are in heavy demand because advanced types are being bought up for data centers that run AI systems.

It estimated July-September operating profit at 107.4 trillion won ($80.1 billion), up 782.5% on-year, according to a company statement. That would mark the first time a South Korean company has surpassed 100 trillion won in quarterly operating profit.

Revenue likely rose 127% to 195 trillion won, Samsung said. With both numbers hitting all-time highs, the company will have broken its own records for both sales and operating profit for four consecutive quarters. Samsung is expected to release its final quarterly earnings report at the end of October.

The AI boom has already helped Samsung and other semiconductor giants around the world post record profits this year. Analysts at South Korean brokerage Shinhan Securities have struck a bullish stance on Samsung's trajectory, writing in a note last week that they expected to see "even stronger earnings" from the company next year.

"Samsung Electronics now appears all set for a rapid increase in market share," they said, as the company ramps up production of a new generation of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, called HBM4.

The Samsung logo is seen at the Samsung Electronics Seocho building in Seoul on Oct. 8, 2026. (AFP Photo)
The Samsung logo is seen at the Samsung Electronics Seocho building in Seoul on Oct. 8, 2026. (AFP Photo)

Next-generation memory chips

Samsung, its South Korean rival SK hynix and U.S. giant Micron dominate the global market for HBM, advanced chips used in AI data centers alongside other powerful data-crunching semiconductors.

"The transition to next-generation HBM will open up the opportunity to renegotiate prices" for Samsung, "helping to guarantee solid margins," the Shinhan Securities note said.

While Samsung's earnings have surged on strong demand for the memory chips it produces, the boom has also pushed up prices for DRAM and NAND flash (types of memory chips used in smartphones and other devices), forcing the company's mobile division to pay more for the same chips.

Analysts say rising production costs have become increasingly difficult to absorb as Samsung seeks to limit price increases to maintain shipment volumes and market share.

In August, Samsung announced a buyback of up to $80 billion of its own stock to boost shareholder returns. It said the shareholder return plan was designed to ensure that the "fruits of the company's growth translate into tangible benefits" for shareholders.

Bonuses and labor disputes

As earnings skyrocket for chipmakers including Samsung, many workers are demanding a bigger cut of the profits. Samsung averted a strike in South Korea earlier this year by agreeing to a deal to distribute bonuses equivalent to 10.5% of operating profit to its semiconductor employees.

The agreement means around 78,000 employees from Samsung's 125,000-strong domestic workforce are eligible to receive a bonus of roughly $370,000 this year, based on a market estimate of profits.

But in Taiwan on Wednesday, union representatives said hundreds of workers at a Micron plant had voted in favor of a strike, after talks with the U.S. company over bonus reforms collapsed.

October 08, 2026 10:24 AM GMT+03:00
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