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Türkiye projected to hit $1.9T in economic output by 2030, IMF says

A night view shows densely lit residential areas stretching across the hills and the modern high-rise skyline of the business district in Istanbul, Türkiye. (Adobe Stock Photo)
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A night view shows densely lit residential areas stretching across the hills and the modern high-rise skyline of the business district in Istanbul, Türkiye. (Adobe Stock Photo)
September 21, 2026 07:11 AM GMT+03:00

Türkiye’s gross domestic product (GDP), the total value of goods and services produced in the country, is forecast to reach $1.9 trillion by 2030, accounting for 1.3% of global economic output, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections.

The forecast puts Türkiye between Indonesia and the Netherlands in the ranking, with Indonesia projected to overtake Türkiye at $2.1 trillion. Türkiye currently ranks 16th, with an economy worth $1.6 trillion, ahead of Indonesia, which ranks 17th at $1.5 trillion.

Global economy set to top $150T

The global economy is projected to grow by roughly $25 trillion through 2030, reaching more than $150.3 trillion, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook forecasts.

The U.S. is projected to remain the world’s largest economy in 2030, with economic output of $37.7 trillion, followed by China at $26 trillion.

Germany and India are expected to remain closely matched for third place, with projected economic output of $6.2 trillion and $6.2 trillion, respectively. The gap between the two is projected to be just $5.0 billion.

The U.S. and China are projected to account for about 42.4% of global economic output in 2030, while the combined output of the U.S., China, and Germany is expected to increase by more than $10 trillion by the end of the decade.

Line chart shows IMF projections for GDP at current prices in Türkiye, Indonesia, South Korea and the Netherlands from 1980 to 2031.  (Chart via IMF)
Line chart shows IMF projections for GDP at current prices in Türkiye, Indonesia, South Korea and the Netherlands from 1980 to 2031. (Chart via IMF)

Asia, Middle East account for over 1/3

The combined economic output of Asia and the Middle East is projected to reach $55.7 trillion by 2030, accounting for more than one-third of the global economy.

Japan is expected to reach $5 trillion, while South Korea and Indonesia are projected to reach $2.3 trillion and $2.1 trillion, respectively.

Europe’s economy is projected to total around $37 trillion in 2030, with the combined nominal output of European Union countries reaching $26.5 trillion.

The IMF does not provide 2030 projections for Afghanistan, Bolivia, Cuba, Eritrea, Lebanon, North Korea, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Syria, or Venezuela.

September 21, 2026 07:12 AM GMT+03:00
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